Reports

  • Bauma 2022 Returns Smaller than 2019

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    After more than three years, BAUMA, one of the largest construction events in the world, reopened its doors for seven days in Munich Oct. 24. Power Systems Research (PSR) had a five-person team at the event, discussing trends with industry representatives, from new products and services to topics around the future evolution f sustainable technologies.

    The show was smaller than the last time it was held, in 2019. Close to 3,200 exhibitors from 60 countries (2019: 3,684 exhibitors from 63 countries) participated and more than 495,000 visitors from over 200 countries (2019: 627,603 visitors from more than 200 countries) came to Munich for the event.

    Bauma is the world’s leading trade fair for construction machinery, building material machines, mining machines, construction vehicles and construction equipment. International visitors made up about 50% of the attendance. That’s a change from 2019 when about two-thirds of visitors came from Germany.

    Power Systems Research had a team of analysts at bauma, looking at new products and talking with OEMs and suppliers about their development plans. Read their reports in the Bauma 2022 Show Report. PSR

  • Alternative Power Report, November 2022

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    Read news and analysis from PSR’s Guy Youngs about hydrogen power applications in the November issue of the Alternative Power report by Power Systems Research.

  • PowerTALK™, November 2022

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    IN THIS ISSUE

    Bauma 2022 was held in Munich this year during October, and Power Systems Research sent a team of analysts to the show to meet with exhibitors and attendees to discuss industry changes and to study new products. Read their complete report. Also in this issue is the expanded Alternative Power sources report prepared by Guy Youngs.

    • Alternative Power
      • JCB Unveils Mobile Hydrogen Refueller
      • Massive Hydrogen Fuel Truck To Help Decarbonize Mining Industry
      • 50-Ton Battery-Powered Electric Crane Introduced
      • World Needs To Mine 25× More Lithium By 2050
      • US Increases EV Battery Recycling Capacity
      • Penn State Offers Smaller, Faster Charging Batteries
      • Liebherr Leads Bauma Innovation Award Winners
    • Miners Cut CO2 Emissions by Switching To EVs
    • DataPoint: Utility Vehicles
    • Global Report: Powersports Market Expected To Exceed US$ 50 Billion
    • North America: Hydrogen Fuel Cell Truck News
    • Brazil/South America:
      • Foton Aumark Shuts Down Operations in Brazil
      • São Paulo Partners with ENEL To Replace Diesel Buses To BEV
    • Randon Acquires US Trailer Maker Hercules
    • Show Report: Bauma-Munich 2022
    • Japan: Semiconductor Development Companies Set Up
    • South Korea: Korean Electric Motorcycle Maker Builds Factory in Vietnam
    • SE Asia: New Vehicle Sales Increase 33% in September
    • India: Cheering Festive Season for Auto Industry
  • DATAPOINT: North America Utility Vehicles, 2022 Production: 432,700 Units

    432,700 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Utility Vehicles to be produced in North America (United States, Canada and Mexico) in 2022.

    Four-wheel off-road Utility Vehicles with side-by-side seating are designed to be used in a variety of recreational, industrial and military applications. When equipped with dumpers, they are commonly used for landscaping, dumping and transporting light materials. Vehicles can be customized with enclosed cabs, tool racks, dumpers and more for use on college campuses, parks, corporate campuses and airports. Suppliers offer a wide variety of gas, electric and diesel utility vehicles.

    This information comes from industry interviews and from two proprietary databases maintained by Power Systems Research: EnginLink™ , which provides information on engines, and OE Link™, a database of equipment manufacturers.

    Exports: Canada, up to 90%; Mexico, up to 85% for NA markets, and US, up to 40% worldwide.

    Market Share:  With a combined plant total of 28%, Mexico/US based Polaris leads in production of Utility Vehicles in North America.  In second position is Deere with a combined plant total of 12%; third is Kubota with 11%.

    Trends: In 2021, annual production of Utility Vehicles in North America increased 2% and production is expected to gain another 5% in 2022.  The Covid-19 pandemic fed the demand for Utility Vehicles in recreational, industrial and military applications known as the “Pandemic Paradox” (sales surged during lockdowns). The popularity of outdoor activities increased during the lockdowns as people gravitated to the outdoors and away from indoor group activities. 

    The increases also were driven by low unemployment, demand for products in the golf industry, federal government incentives and the desire for new equipment/greener technology especially within the sport and utility sectors. 

    Side-by-Side units, also referred to as Utility Task Vehicle (UTV) models continue to grow in popularity and are edging out ATVs for preference because of their convenience and increased capacity. Most UTVs can accommodate up to six passengers and are primarily designed for off-road use.  Production is expected to increase up to 5% by 2025.  PSR

    Carol Turner is Senior Analyst, Global Operations, for Power Systems Research

  • Alternative Power Report, October 2022

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    In the October issue of PSR’s Alternative Power Report, read about Ideanomics’ new quick charger, a new super fast rechargeable battery and a cost analysis of diesel vs. hydrogen power.

  • Power Systems Research Truck Production Index drops 13.7%

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    Global Truck Production REPORT

    St. Paul, MN (October 24, 2022)— The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) dropped from 110 to 101, or 8.2%, for the three-month period ended September 30, 2022, from Q2 2022. The year-over-year (Q3 2021 to Q3 2022) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 117 to 101, or 13.7%.

    The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.

    This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.

    All Regions. Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production will be mixed this year due to a variety of issues.  In China, truck overcapacity continues to hinder demand while the Russian-Ukraine war is significantly impacting demand and production in Eastern Europe.  The global supply chain will remain a problem through at least the end of this year for all regions.  There is serious concern about a major slowdown in the North American and European economies as a direct result of higher fuel and energy prices and overall inflation which doesn’t appear to be going away anytime soon.

    Global Index. Global medium and heavy vehicle production is expected to decline by 13% this year primarily due to a significant drop in heavy truck demand in China.  A slowing global economy along with continued supply chain disruptions will continue to place pressure on demand moving forward.

    North America. Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to increase by 9.3% this year over 2021 as the OEMs continue to struggle with the supply chain disruption that is expected to continue well into next year.   Freight demand continues to remain healthy but is expected to cool as the economy in general slows down primarily due to high inflation and energy costs along with higher interest rates and continued disruption within the overall supply chain.  Within the class 8 truck segment, PSR expects truck demand to remain strong into the first part of next year as a result of significant pent-up heavy truck demand.  PSR


    Jim Downey is Vice President – Global Data Products at Power Systems Research and
    Chris Fisher is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst at Power Systems Research

  • PowerTALK™, October 2022

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    IN THIS ISSUE

    Lorena Violante is the Senior Market Research Consultant for Power Systems Research. This month she interviewed Miguel Elizalde Lizárraga, the executive president of ANPACT (the National Association of Bus, Truck and Tractor Producers). She also provides a report on ExporTransporte 2022, the largest truck bus show in Latin America.

    Also in this issue read these articles:

    • Alternative Power
      • Ideanomics Tests Quick Power 500 kW Charger
      • Hydrogen Combustion Engines Possible
      • Super-Fast Aqueous Rechargeable Zinc Battery
      • Miniature Hydrogen Fuel Cell Powers RC Truck
    • DataPoint: NA Skid Steer
    • Brazil/South America:
      • Record Sales of Agricultural Machines in Brazil
      • Scania, VW and Volvo Show Euro VI Lineup
      • GM Opens Third Shift Engine Production Plant
    • Show Report: Expotransporte 2022
    • China: Mercedes Produces Initial Heavy Trucks
    • Japan: Agri Week 2022 Report
    • South Korea: Hyundai and KT Invest in Autonomous Driving
    • Vietnam: Urban Railroads Delayed
    • India: Toyota Launches First Flex Fuel Hybrid
  • Mexico Truck & Bus Update. Alternative Power Sources Displayed

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    Show Report: Expotransporte 2022

    Editor’s Note: This report includes a conversation with Miguel Elizalde Lizárraga, the executive president of ANPACT (the National Association of Bus, Truck and Engine Manufacturers) and a visit to the Expotransporte 2022, the largest truck show in Latin America.

    Lorena Violante
    Lorena Violante

    ANPACT represents the trucks, buses and engine manufacturers in Mexico. It participates actively with government organizations and other important related associations to ensure the truck and bus industry gets enough support, incentives, alliances, agreements and information to grow in the local market. Also, to continue with their outstanding role as one of the most important exporters of heavy duty vehicles globally.

    The ANPACT gathers the most important trucks, buses and engine manufacturers in Mexico such as Kenworth, Freightliner, International, Mercedes Benz, Man, Volkswagen, Scania, Dina, Mack, Volvo, Isuzu, Hino, Detroit and Cummins.

    During our conversation, Elizalde provided timely insights into the Mexican transportation industry and the major market challenges this country is facing today.

    Chris Fisher
    Chris Fisher

    Vehicles manufactured in Mexico produce an important impact on the country’s economy, logistics and mobility. For example, 71% of the foreign trade value is moved to the US through heavy duty trucks. Much of the movement of goods in Mexico is through trucks, and people use buses as their main transportation.

    According to ANPACT´s August statistics, manufacturers produced a total of 127,858 heavy duty vehicles from January through August this year. This is 18% more than 2021 production. Through August, export volumes increased by 15.7% (106,824 units) compared to 2021. Retail demand has increased so far by 20.5% (25,196 units).

    Current challenges the transportation industry is facing today in Mexico include road safety, environmental regulations implementation, supply chain lead times, driver shortage, e-commerce, vehicles renewals, safety and energy infrastructure.

    Key Mexican Market Challenges

    Road Mobility and Safety. There´s a new mobility and safety road  law designed to reduce the negative social impacts (inequality, economic, health and environmental) with the objective of also reducing road accidents and deaths. This law became effective in May 2022, and is being implemented in different states.

    Environmental Regulations. The next change in Mexico on environmental regulations will be the EPA10/EUROVI on Dec. 1, 2025. However, the timely implementation of this regulation depends mainly on the availability of ultra-low sulfur diesel and the government environmental approvals to implement it.

    Supply Chain Crisis. The effects and disruption on supply chains caused by the COVID-19 outbreak, the cargo ship crisis and the Russian-Ukraine war have made components delivery times much longer, from one or two months to six months and more. This situation applies to semiconductors and many other parts. It is expected that some companies could solve this problem by the end of this year and many others will solve the problem next year.

    Operator Shortage. There is a global shortage of drivers, not only in the US and Mexico, but Mexico has a double problem. The shortage of drivers in Mexico is made worse because Mexican drivers are migrating to work some months in the US with a legal international license and with an authorized visa.

    Vehicle Fleet Renewals. There´s not an existing culture to renew fleets in Mexico and there is no enforcement to retire old vehicles, so this is another challenge the country is facing today.

    Energy Infrastructure. Mexico does not have enough ultra-low sulfur diesel. Also, there are only 65 public gas stations for vehicles, 9000 diesel stations and 38 electric stations (only 15 of them are used by HD vehicles, the rest are in other locations like parking lots).

    Expotransporte ANPACT 2022

    Vehicles Using Alternative Power Sources Displayed

    We visited ExpoTransporte in October in the state of Puebla. This show is the most important truck and bus show in Latin America. This show is equal in organization and quality to those held in Europe and the United States. It is a major venue where OEMs, suppliers, transportation companies and owner operators  meet to do business and create alliances. It´s a leading event to promote the transportation industry in the country.

    While walking the show, we were able to see applied technologies such as diesel, natural gas, hybrids and electric options in vehicles. Some are already offered in the market and others are expected to be offered in the near future.

    Isuzu. Showcased some of their EuroVI units to be offered in the market once the emission regulation comes in place to Mexico. This includes the ELF400Z (Euro VI, Urea) which is a 4 cylinder diesel engine; also the Forward 800 EURO VI (4Hk1tcs 6 cylinder diesel engine)

    Kenworth. Exhibited current diesel models, like the T680 Next Gen available with a Cummins X15 or a Paccar MX-13. Also some of the new products that we could see were their mid-range 100% electric truck K270E made at their plant in Mexicalli which started to be sold in 2022 (so far exported to the US). Another model exhibited was the T380 CNG, a mid-range truck with a Cummins natural gas engine B6.7N

    Volkswagen.  The manufacturer introduced the e-Delivery, their first electric truck 100% developed and made in Mexico and Brazil . It´s available in 11 and 14 tons

    International. The LT model with a Cummins engine X15 Euro V/ VI available in 2023. Also presented the eMV and the eCE bus electric models

    Shacman. A relatively new entrant in the Mexican market is Shacman. The Chinese manufacturer entered the Mexican market about two years ago. It´s led by Carlos Pardo, their managing director. They assemble some units today in the state of Hidalgo and have plans to expand their operation to a larger site. They exhibited their heavy duty trucks L3000 and X3000 powered by Cummins or Weichai engines. Shacman also offers trucks with natural gas engines.

    Freightliner. This manufacturer presented the eCascadia and eM2, 100% electric heavy duty trucks powered by Detroit ePowertrain. Today, these units were exhibited as the first step towards an introduction in the country that will need a huge coordination between the manufacturer, the government and customers to make these trucks driving on the Mexican highways a reality.

    Hino. Presented some of their current models like the Series 500 trucks, and also their latest  technologies like their hybrid Series 300 trucks (Models 516HV, 616HV and (816HV) and the new Series 200 trucks to be introduced in 2023 . Also exhibited were their new electric technologies with two models. The Hino Dutro Z EV was introduced this year in the Japanese market and still is not sold in Mexico. The other electric model is a prototype, which Hino intends to introduce to the Mexican market. Hino offers today a broad range in the Mexican market with about 30 models.

    Cummins. Exhibited their X15 Euro VI engine with no EGR system.   PSR

    Lorena Violante is Senior Market Research ConsultantMexico, for Power Systems Research

    Chris Fisher is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst for Power Systems Research

  • DataPoint: North America Skid Steer Loaders, 2022 Production, 92,700 Units

    A Skid Steer Loader, also known as a skid loader, skid-steer loader, or skid steer, is a small rigid frame, engine-powered machine with lift arms used to attach a wide variety of labor-saving tools or attachments.

    The four major types of skid steer loaders are Agricultural, 29%; Rental Fleets,  22%; Construction, 20%, and Landscape, 12%.

    92,700 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Skid Steer Loaders to be produced in North America (United States and Canada) in 2022.

    This information comes from industry interviews and from two proprietary databases maintained by Power Systems Research: EnginLink™ , which provides information on engines, and OE Link™, a database of equipment manufacturers.

    Exports: Collectively, up to 25% worldwide

    Market Share:  With 33.5% of total units produced Bobcat leads in production of Skid Steer Loaders in North America.  In second and third positions are Case New Holland and Deere with 21.5% and 15.5%, respectively.

    Trends: In 2021, production of skid steer loaders in North America increased nearly 4% YoY.  Production is expected to gain another 4.5% in 2022.   The 2020 decline was mostly attributed to COVID-19 related factors along with new equipment saturation in the market and a slight drop in construction related activities. 

    The recent gains are attributed to the need for new construction equipment and the overall stabilization of the economy, especially in the construction industry.   As the construction industry continues to recover, construction will continue to be a key driver in overall industry growth. 

    Sales are reduced by sluggish demand in the American agriculture industry (still battling soft commodity prices) that accounts for 29% of all skid steer usage in the market today.  Expect production of skid steer loaders in NA to increase up to 7% over the next 3-5 years. PSR

    Carol Turner is Senior Analyst, Global Operations, for Power Systems Research

  • Alternative Power Report, September 2022

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    The September 2022 issue of the Alternative Power Report from PSR discusses Cummins new energy storage system, battery electric forecasts and EV shipping applications. PSR

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