Beijing Plan Calls for 100% EV Commercial Vehicles

CHINA REPORT
Jack Hao
Jack Hao

Under its new Five Year Plan, Beijing will expand restriction on the use of vehicles entering Beijing. At the same time,  Beijing will restrict the use of China III diesel trucks and will implement regional traffic restrictions during peak hours of working days, strengthen the management of illegal electric three and four wheeled vehicles, and implement a preferential traffic policy for new energy logistics and distribution vehicles.

The Five Year Plan also calls for the promotion of low-carbon new energy transportation tools, and the promotion of “oil for electricity” of vehicles in public transport, rental (including cruise and online appointment), tourism and freight transportation.

Today, 69,000 diesel trucks have been eliminated in Beijing, and the proportion of clean energy and new energy vehicles in public transportation has reached 90.2%. Beijing plans to accelerate the promotion of new energy intelligent vehicle technology and cost reductions in many applications.

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COVID-19 2020 North American Impact: Ag, -12%, Construction, -14%

HDMA-PSR COVID Webinar Presentation

COVID-19 continues to batter production of off-highway equipment as we continue to move through 2020. The effects of the virus on Agricultural and Construction equipment production in North America were analyzed in a June 17 webinar presented by the Heavy Duty Manufacturers Association (HDMA) and Power Systems Research (PSR). The webinar updated information presented in PSR’s webinar in April.

Jim Downey
Jim Downey

The PSR webinar team was Jim Downey, PSR vice president-global data products , and Yosyf Sherementa, PhD, PSR director-product management and customer experience.

PSR projects AG to be down 9.4% and CN to be down 11.3% when comparing global production for this year (2020) to last year (2019).

China and India which have the largest volumes for ag machinery are the lower side for production percentage drops this year. China which is also the largest producer of construction equipment is not expecting a decline this year.

Yosyf Sheremeta
Yosyf Sheremeta

A slight recovery for Construction equipment is expected in 2021, but not until 2022 for Agricultural machinery. Ag sector recovery will ultimately depend on overall economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

The construction segment will not return to pre-virus production volumes for another few years, at best. We’re looking out to 2024 or possibly 2025 to get back to 1.48 million units.

We don’t see a V-shaped type scenario on the horizon in North America, but rather recovery will look like something between a “U” and an “L.” Somewhat of a swoosh shape or upward sloping L.  Economic activity will slowly return to a sense of normalcy as the curve of new COVID-19 cases flattens.

Government support and intervention will be needed, and stimulus will provide an economic backstop. We expect modest growth in 2021. Pent-up demand and continued economic stimulus should also help with rebound.

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Brazilian Production and Sales of Commercial Vehicles Won’t Recover Until 2021

Power Systems Research analyzes markets of trucks, buses, agricultural and construction machines

Brazil deaths caused by coronavirus increased sharply in April and May 2020.

Slump Caused by COVID-19 Will Last into 2021

The overall slump in production and sales of heavy commercial vehicles (trucks and buses) as well as for agricultural and construction machines should last throughout this year; these segments won’t recover until 2021.  PSR

Automotive Business – April 2020 – English version

Q2 2020 Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) Drops 74%

St. Paul, MN (July 22, 2020)— Global truck production was battered by the COVID-19 in Q2 2020, and this decline is reflected in the Q2 2020 Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI). The TPI plummeted from 80 to 34, or 57.5%, for the three-month period ended June 30, 2020, compared to Q1 2020. The year-over-year (Q2 2019 to Q2 2020) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 131 to 34, or 74%.

The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.

This data comes from CV Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.

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2020, A Year to Forget for MHV; 2021 Is Looking Better

Chris Fisher
Chris Fisher

SUMMARY: In this article we provide a global overview on a regional basis of the medium and heavy commercial vehicle market (GVWR > 6 MT’s) along with current trends and OEM happenings in North America.

NORTH AMERICA. MHCV production in North America is expected to decline by 35% in 2020 compared to 2019.  However, orders for class 8 trucks improved significantly in Q4 2020 as large fleets placed their orders for a 2021 build.  This appears to signal an improvement in demand for 2021 as the market aligns itself with the expected freight level moving forward.  The consumer segment was strong during the last half of the year and the industrial segment is now expected to improve, as well. 

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Q3 2020 Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) climbs 203%

St. Paul, MN — The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 36 to 109, or 203%, for the three-month period ended Oct. 31, 2020, from the Q2 2020. The year-over-year (Q3 2019 to Q3 2020) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 117 to 109, or 6.8%.

The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.

This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.

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Q4 2020 Truck Production Jumps 35%

St. Paul, MN — The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 109 to 147, or 35%, for the three-month period ended Dec. 31, 2020, from the Q3 2020. The year-over-year (Q4 2019 to Q4 2020) gain for the PSR-TPI was 121 to 147, or 21%.

The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.

This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.

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PowerTALK™ News, April 2020

COVID-19 is the most important issue facing our industry globally in decades, and many of the articles in the April issue of PowerTALK News address the impact of this virus on production. Read about the industry’s reaction to coronavirus around the world in this issue. Be certain to review the video and the presentation slides from the PSR Webinar presented April 15, 2020.


Download your copy of the presentation here. See the webinar video.

IN THIS ISSUE
  • Dealing With Coronavirus—A Webinar
  • North America: Is Coronavirus A Natural Disaster
  • North America: High School Builds Face Masks
  • North America: Batteries Are Coming
  • North America: Outdoor COVID-19 Guide
  • Global: Truck Production Slumps
  • DataPoint: Skid Steer Loaders
  • Europe: COVID-19 Update
  • Brazil: Marcopolo Resumes Production
  • Brazil: Trailer Production Recovery Seen
  • Brazil: Q1 2020 Motorcycle To Drop
  • Brazil: First Foton Produced
  • China: NS6 Regulation Delayed
  • Japan: COVID-19 Hits OEMs
  • Korea: Doosan Hikes SNS Promotions
  • Southeast Asia: COVID-19 Shuts Auto Plants
  • Taiwan: Coronavirus Controlled
  • India: COVID-19 Report
  • Russia: Automakers Resume Work
  • Russia: Ambulance Purchases Planned
  • Russia: Market Decline Forecast

NA Gen-Set Sales Climb in Q4 2020

Joe Zirnhelt
Joe Zirnhelt

SUMMARY: Our PowerTrackerTM dealer and distributor survey of 200 respondents reported that overall gen-set sales continued a positive trend in Q4 2020 up 6.3% from Q3 2020 levels.  Sales gains could have been even higher because dealers ran out of inventory. This increase follows a slow start to the year in Q1 2020 where overall dealer reported sales were down 9.8% from Q4 2019 levels followed by successive increases of 4.5% in Q2 2020 and 11.9% in Q3 2020.

Although sales were up 6.3% for the fourth quarter, the results were unique in that there was a different story depending on the fuel and power range being considered.  The quarterly sales increase was anchored by abnormally high increases for gaseous fueled units in the 10-50 kW range and moderate to large decreases in the other power ranges of gaseous fuels as well as diesel fueled sets.

The data comes from the proprietary PowerTrackerTM series of syndicated surveys conducted each quarter by Power Systems Research. A total of 500 interviews are completed each quarter with gen-set dealers and distributors and businesses across North America.

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