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Strait of Hormuz Closure May Tip Global Economy

Chris Fisher Americans are warily eyeing prices at the pump as oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz grind to a halt amid the threat of Iranian attacks on vessels. The IEA took the unprecedented step of saying it would release 400 million barrels of oil from reserve on Wednesday. But oil is far from the only product for which the world economy is heavily dependent on the shallow, narrow waterway which connects Persian Gulf ports with the rest of the world. From the metals market to agriculture and autos, a de facto closure of the strait would ripple through business sectors and both the U.S. and world economy.
Aluminum is a good example. It is one of the biggest non-petroleum commerce casualties of the U.S.-Iran war. In 2025, the Middle East accounted for roughly 21% of unwrought aluminum imports and 13% of wrought aluminum imports — and those percentages have been rising. Unwrought aluminum is the raw, unprocessed metal in forms like ingots and billets, while wrought aluminum has been mechanically shaped into sheets, rods, or other finished forms used directly in manufacturing.
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Traton Reports Positive 2025 Financial Results
In its full-year 2025 financial report, the Traton Group highlighted a significant divergence between global market headwinds and a resilient European core. While total unit sales for the Group declined by 9%, the MAN Truck & Bus brand demonstrated remarkable localized strength, recording a 30% surge in incoming orders for 2025 compared to 2024. This increase brought MAN’s total order volume to 100,000 vehicles, driven predominantly by high replacement demand in the EU27+3 region and strong performance…
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Brazil Vehicle Exports Rise To Mexico, Fall To Argentina

Fabio Ferraresi Brazilian vehicle exports showed mixed performance in early 2026, increasing significantly to Mexico while declining sharply to Argentina. Growth in shipments to Mexico reflects stronger demand conditions and efforts by Brazilian OEMs to diversify export destinations, while the drop in Argentina is linked to weaker domestic demand, tighter import controls and foreign exchange constraints.
Overall exports remained supported by regional demand adjustments and production planning by automakers,…
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Brazil Truck Production Drops in 2026 First Two months
Brazilian truck production fell 27% in the first two months of 2026 compared with the same period of 2025, despite expectations linked to the Mover Brazil program. The decline reflects weaker domestic demand, cautious fleet renewal decisions and slower freight activity at the start of the year.
OEMs adjusted output in response to lower order intake, particularly in the heavy duty segment. The result highlights ongoing volatility in Brazil’s commercial vehicle cycle and limited short term impact of policy support measures on production levels.
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VW Tukan Is Brand’s First Flex Hybrid Vehicle
Volkswagen confirmed that the upcoming Tukan compact SUV will be its first flex fuel hybrid vehicle developed for Brazil. The model will combine a hybrid powertrain with a flex fuel ICE capable of running on gasoline and ethanol, aligned with local decarbonization strategies and Brazil’s biofuel infrastructure.
The vehicle is expected to be produced locally and positioned in the compact SUV segment, supporting Volkswagen’s regional electrification roadmap. The launch reinforces the company’s focus on hybridization technologies adapted to Brazilian market conditions and regulatory trends.
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Q4 2025 Truck Production Climbs 3.7%
The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 107 to 111, or 3.7%, for the three-month period ended Dec. 31, 2025, from Q3 2025. The year over-year (Q4 2024 to Q4 2025) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 113 to 111, or -1.8%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets. This data comes from OE Link,™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
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Hidden Cost of Europe’s Hydrogen Bus Experiment
This Clean Technica article notes, “Arthur Bus’s collapse in Poland marks the end of a story that had been quietly unraveling for some time. A hydrogen bus startup backed by public funding, municipal orders, and a planned manufacturing footprint failed before delivering a single customer vehicle.
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Tesla Semi Lines Up for $165M in California Incentives

Chris Fisher The update was initially reported by The Los Angeles Times.
Tesla reportedly is positioned to receive roughly $165 million in California clean-truck incentives for its Semi.
As per the Times, the Tesla Semi’s funding will come from California’s Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Incentive Project (HVIP), which was designed to accelerate the adoption of cleaner medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. Since its launch in 2009, the HVIP has distributed more than $1.6 billion to support zero-emission trucks and buses across the state.
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Toyota Engine Plant To Resume Production in 2028

Fabio Ferraresi Toyota’s engine manufacturing plant in Porto Feliz (SP), Brazil, will not resume full production until 2028 after suffering severe structural damage caused by a storm in September 2025. The facility, responsible for producing flex-fuel ICE engines for models such as Corolla, Corolla Cross and Yaris, was heavily damaged, requiring complete reconstruction. Only the original foundation slab will be reused, with a new industrial building designed to incorporate higher levels of automation and a more compact manufacturing layout.
During the reconstruction period, Toyota implemented contingency measures, including the installation of a temporary structure in Porto Feliz to maintain partial engine production. Part of the workforce was reassigned to the Sorocaba plant, while other employees entered temporary layoff programs. The company plans to test a new productivity and manufacturing concept by the end of 2027, with full operational normalization scheduled for 2028.
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Brazil Suspends 2026 School Bus Procurement
The Federal National Education Development Fund (FNDE), part of Brazil’s Ministry of Education, has revoked the public tender for the purchase of approximately 7,500 school buses under the Programa Caminho da Escola scheduled for 2026. The cancellation was formally published in early February 2026 to align the procurement with a new law on tax exemptions, which altered fiscal conditions for vehicles eligible in the program.
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