News: Power Generation

2020-08-23

COVID Creates Challenges and Opportunities in Power Gen

If you were hoping for COVID-19 to disappear from the news by the school year, it’s obviously not going to happen. With major companies like Google announcing they won’t be sending employees back to their offices until the summer of 2021 and COVID metrics climbing again in the South and West, we probably will be working on the impact of the pandemic well into next year.

Tyler Wiegert
Tyler Wiegert

It could almost be considered a truism to say that COVID-19 has been bad for business. The 33% annualized decline in GDP in Q2 2020 would apparently confirm that, and even the most positive about the economy must concede that a 9.5% single-quarter contraction is painful, to say the least. With businesses closed and housing starts in June lagging 4% behind last year, even with the brief reprieve when states began to reopen, the power generation segment has been hit hard by the pandemic.

Cummins, a giant in the industry, announced at the end of July that its revenues for Q2 2020 had fallen 38% from Q2 2019. That increased to 48% when looking at North America alone. Engine sales were down 47%, and power generation revenues declined by 37%. While Cummins was able to achieve positive net income because of a quick ramp-up in production in China after the worst of the virus had passed there, it was less than half of net income from Q2 2019.

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2020-04-02

Is COVID-19 a Natural Disaster?

In late March, about halfway through the United States’ first round of social distancing, Generac CEO Aaron Jagdfeld spoke with Yahoo Finance’s Seana Smith about whether Generac was seeing a spike in demand from COVID-19.

Tyler Wiegert
Tyler Wiegert

Smith noted that the power generation segment tends to do better during and after a natural disaster, and wanted to know the answer to a question that has also been on our minds at Power Systems Research: “Is COVID-19 a Natural Disaster?”

Like many of the other questions surrounding COVID-19, like “Is the United States heading into a recession?” or “How do we distribute scarce medical resources?” the answer isn’t clear cut.

Additionally, hotels and other buildings are being converted into temporary hospitals as states prepare for their regular ICUs to reach capacity. He states that those buildings might not have typically had back-up power, but now need to be quickly outfitted to meet regulations for critical care centers.

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2020-02-25

We Expect 2020 NA Overall OEM Production To Be Flat

This article initially appeared in the February 2020 issue of PowerTALK News.

SUMMARY.  The North American economy remained stable in 2019 and pure economic conditions as well as fundamentals in the region were favorable. Most industries performed very well, and the short-term outlook remains stable to flat for most market segments. However, we see many new developments that could suggest a shift in the trend.

Yosyf Sheremeta
Yosyf Sheremeta

Consumer confidence declined slightly in December, following a moderate increase in November.  The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index stood at 126.5 in December, 1.4 points higher than in September 2019. 

Per Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board: “While consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved, their expectations declined, driven primarily by a softening in their short-term outlook regarding jobs and financial prospects. While the economy hasn’t shown signs of further weakening, there is little to suggest that growth, and in particular consumer spending, will gain momentum in early 2020.”

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2019-11-05

Power Systems Research Assists on Gen-Set Emissions Project

Pace_Air_Emissions_of_Generators_ReportDownload

WHITE PLAINS, NY – The Pace Energy and Climate Center (Pace) has announced a new data analysis tool and research model in a report titled “Estimating the Air Emissions of Stationary Engine Generators under Two Megawatts,” both developed with support from Environmental Defense Fund.

The project drew upon data provided by Power Systems Research (PSR), a Minneapolis-based research firm, from its proprietary PartsLink database.

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2019-10-28

Moscow Heat and Power Show

MOSCOW–The fourth annual Heat and Power Show was conducted here Oct. 22-24, and a significant part of the fair was dedicated to small generation and co-generation applications.

Although at the moment this fair is rather small, it has a good potential to become a large international show because it is only fair in Russia with such a specialization. There were about 100 participants from 12 countries.

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2019-09-03

Publications Welcome to the New Gilded Age

This forecast appeared in the September 2019 issue of Diesel Progress magazine.

SUMMARY. The underlying weak conditions in the global economic picture could put pressure on the North American power generation industry for the remainder of 2019 and through most of 2020. We forecast little or no growth for the industry through 2020.

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Welcome to the New Gilded Age of Gen-Sets

This forecast appeared in the September 2019 issue of Diesel Progress magazine.

SUMMARY. The underlying weak conditions in the global economic picture could put pressure on the North American power generation industry for the remainder of 2019 and through most of 2020. We forecast little or no growth for the industry through 2020.

Even though the power generation production market was up slightly (0.9% in 2018-2019), we see it declining about 1% over the next year. 

Tyler Wiegert
Tyler Wiegert

For those of you a few years removed from your high school U.S. History courses, the original Gilded Age was a period covering the 1870s-1890s that was marked by astonishing economic growth. Driven by the expansion of industrialization in the North and West, facilitated by growing railroad networks, real wages grew an enviable 60%.

But Mark Twain dubbed this period the “Gilded Age” rather than the “Golden Age,” because it was also marked by extreme poverty, and he represented it with gilded, decaying apple. The shiny outward appearance of growth was masking a rotten core of massive inequality.

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2017-06-01

CONEXPO Publications Booming North American Rental Market Offers Opportunity


COMPOUNDINGS Magazine, June 2017 Market ReportDownload

This article appeared in the June 2017 issue of Compoundings Magazine, published by ILMA (Independent Lubricant Manufacturers Association)

If you didn’t hike through the nearly 3 million square feet of exhibit space at CONEXPO-CON/AGG in Las Vegas in March, you missed an opportunity to explore several new markets for lubricants.

And even if you were in Las Vegas, you might have missed two of the most promising growth opportunities for lubricants. One is the booming North American commercial equipment rental market. The second involves the changing outlook for emissions regulations, which will affect the demands for engine lubricants on commercial vehicles and off-highway equipment.

CONEXPO-CON/AGG is a huge international event held every three years for the construction industries, with a focus on construction, aggregates and ready-mix concrete. This year, nearly 128,000 attendees to the five-day show visited more than 2,800 exhibits.