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Q2 2026 Truck Production Index Climbs 11.3%
Sign-up for TPI ReportsSt. Paul, MN — The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 115 to 128, or 11.3%, for the three-month period ending June 30, 2026, from Q1 2026. The year-over-year (Q2 2025 to Q2 2026) gain for the PSR-TPI was, 127 to 128, or 0.8%.
Jim Downey The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
All Regions. MHCV demand will vary by region in 2026. North America and Europe have seen orders increase through much of the first half of the year and vehicle demand is expected to improve somewhat over last year. China is expected to see a single digit decline in production much of the decline comes on the heels of very high levels of production in 2025.
Global Index. Overall, global production is expected to decline slightly in 2026 over last year. Ongoing tariffs along with the conflict in the Middle East and the shipping disruption in the Strait of Hormuz are currently putting pressure on truck demand. However, at the time of this writing fuel prices have been declining as more vessels are able to pass through the Strait.
Chris Fisher North America. Medium and heavy truck production in North America is expected to increase by 9.5% this year compared with low 2025 production. While class 8 truck production is expected to increase by 13.5% this year as order rates for class 8 trucks have improved strongly throughout much of the year. Improvement in freight rates and freight demand along with tightening truck capacity and some level of truck pre-buy ahead of the 2027 GHG emission regulations is expected to drive increased truck production this year. While truck sales have been down for much of this year, production levels are expected to be strong in the second half of the year. Oil prices have been recently declining which will also help drive truck demand in the third and fourth quarters of 2026.
The next update of the Power Systems Research TPI will be in October 2026 and will reflect changes in the TPI during Q3 2026. PSR
Jim Downey is Vice President-Global Data Products at Power Systems Research
Chris Fisher is the Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst at Power Systems Research -
PSR Provides $2,000 STEM Scholarship
Power Systems Research has provided its annual $2,000 STEM Scholarship (Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics) to 2026 Eagan High School graduate Ryan Houth.
The STEM scholarship is made through the non-profit Eagan Community Foundation, which has donated more than $3 million in scholarships, grants and initiatives to the Eagan community since it was founded in 1990.
Power Systems Research, a global data research and intelligence company, has been providing a STEM scholarship annually to the Eagan Community Foundation since 2013.
“Power Systems Research has been promoting engineering-based research since its founding in 1976,” noted Joe Zirnhelt, PSR president, in discussing the scholarship program. “We believe it’s extremely important to encourage and support STEM education at the high school level.”
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PowerTALK™, April 2026
In the April 2026 issue of PowerTALK News you can read articles about reports from CONEXPO 2026, Alternative Power News, and DataPoint, plus reports on Iran and Tariffs, BYD Developments, and more.
ALTERNATIVE POWER REPORT
- A “Failed Experiment”? Biofuels Under Spotlight
- US Battery Recycler Lands $1.1B Metals Refining Deal
- When Fossil Fuel Supplies Falter, Interest In Renewables Increases
- Oil Crisis Makes Drivers Reconsider Electric
DATAPOINT: 2026 Aerator Production
GLOBAL REPORT: 2026 Global MHCV Production Gains Seen
EUROPE REPORT:- Volvo Moves into Big Electric Equipment
- KTM Completes Strategic Realignment and Leap into Premium EVs
SOUTH AMERICA/BRAZIL REPORT:
- Import Tax Decision on Buses Is Reversed
- Indian Preet Enters Brazil With Tractor Manufacturing Plant
- Selic Interest Rate Cut Has Limited Impact in Auto Market
- VWCO Tests B100 Soybean Biodiesel in Engines
- GAC Plans Vehicle Production in Brazil
JAPAN REPORT: Yanmar To Build Plant for Marine Hydrogen EnginesSOUTH KOREA REPORT: HD Construction Sets Electric Safety Training SystemPHILIPINES REPORT:…
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Jack Prince Joins Power Systems Research
Jack Prince Jack Prince has joined Power Systems Research as a business development manager. He’ll be working out of the Ann Arbor, MI, office. Jack brings over 25 years of business development and commercialization experience to the global automotive and mobility industries. He uses research and data to help clients identify market opportunities and improve business efficiency while enhancing product performance.
Jack has advised emerging ventures on market discovery, product strategy, and investor…
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Interest Rates Hurt Brazil Heavy Truck Production
Fabio Ferraresi Heavy truck production in Brazil fell 3.7% in Q1 2025 versus the same period in 2024, totaling 16,700 units, according to Anfavea. The decline is attributed to high interest rates (Selic), which have limited fleet renewal despite a record grain harvest.
Heavy truck sales also dropped 7% in the quarter, with 13,000 units registered.
OEM Performance – Heavy Trucks: Volvo: 3,900 units sold (+4% YoY); Scania: 3,500 units (−17%), and Mercedes-Benz: 2,100 units (−13.5%)
Despite the contraction in the heavy segment, total truck production grew 8.2%, reaching 31,700 units. The Medium-duty truck segment production was 8,900 units (+28.5%) and the Light-duty truck production was 4,500 units (+10%)
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Hyundai Motor Plans To Invest $21 Billion in US
Last month, South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Group announced that it will invest $21 billion in the U.S. over the next four years. In addition to investing $6 billion to build a steel mill in Louisiana, the company will increase its U.S. auto production capacity by 70% to 1.2 million vehicles per year at a cost of $9 billion
The $21 billion investment in the U.S. will be the largest ever made by the Hyundai Motor Group. The investment will be made between 2025 and 2028 and will cover a wide range of fields, including automobiles, steel, parts and energy.
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Three China-Owned Auto Companies Plan Merger
Jack Hao The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC) officially announced that it would implement a strategic reorganization of the three state-owned automotive enterprises—FAW Group, Dongfeng Motor, and Changan Automobile. The goal is to “build a world-class automotive group with global competitiveness, independent core technologies, and the ability to lead the transformation of intelligent and connected vehicles.”
The combined annual production capacity of the three central state-owned enterprises exceeds 8 million vehicles, yet the market share of their owned brands is less than 15%. The fragmented R&D investment has led to low efficiency in technological advances. After the reorganization, technological synergy will become a core focus. For example, a joint innovation consortium will be established in 28 “chokepoint” areas, such as automotive-grade chips and domain controllers, to concentrate resources on overcoming technological barriers.
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Farm Mechanization Unlocks Productivity
Farm mechanization in India is steadily evolving from being tractor-centric to encompassing a broader range of machines and technologies aimed at improving agricultural productivity and efficiency. Traditionally, mechanization was equated with the use of tractors, which replaced bullocks in tillage, sowing, and transport operations. The tractor gave Indian farmers a reliable source of power, allowing them to perform heavier and faster field tasks.
A typical pair of bullocks generates just about 1 horsepower (hp), while most tractors sold in India today are in the 41–50 hp range. With nearly 9 lakh units sold annually, tractors form the backbone of India’s farm power economy, contributing over ₹60,000 crore in value terms. Yet, the real shift lies in the rising demand for tractor-mounted and self-propelled farm machinery, driven by the need to overcome agricultural labor shortages and improve overall farm economics.
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