News

Welcome to the New Gilded Age of Gen-Sets

This forecast appeared in the September 2019 issue of Diesel Progress magazine.

SUMMARY. The underlying weak conditions in the global economic picture could put pressure on the North American power generation industry for the remainder of 2019 and through most of 2020. We forecast little or no growth for the industry through 2020.

Even though the power generation production market was up slightly (0.9% in 2018-2019), we see it declining about 1% over the next year. 

Tyler Wiegert
Tyler Wiegert

For those of you a few years removed from your high school U.S. History courses, the original Gilded Age was a period covering the 1870s-1890s that was marked by astonishing economic growth. Driven by the expansion of industrialization in the North and West, facilitated by growing railroad networks, real wages grew an enviable 60%.

But Mark Twain dubbed this period the “Gilded Age” rather than the “Golden Age,” because it was also marked by extreme poverty, and he represented it with gilded, decaying apple. The shiny outward appearance of growth was masking a rotten core of massive inequality.

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FAR EAST: SOUTH KOREA REPORT

Increased Uncertainty Causes Export-Investment Slump To Continue

In the August edition of the Economic Trend Report (Green Book), the Korean Ministry of Planning and Finance defined the recent Korean economy this way: “production has increased moderately but exports and investments continue to be sluggish”.

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SOUTHEAST ASIA: THAILAND, INDONESIA REPORT

Thailand May Become New Car Sales Leader in 2019

New car sales from January to June in six major countries in Southeast Asia were 1.7 million, unchanged from the same period of the previous year.

Thailand and Indonesia are the two major markets. Thailand, where consumption is strong, increased by 7% year-on-year, while Indonesia, which faces a decline in resource prices, decreased by 13%. Thailand could be ranked first this year for the first time in six years.

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FAR EAST: JAPAN REPORT

Mitsubishi Manufactures Wind Turbines

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has begun manufacturing the basic structure of wind turbines at the Nagasaki Shipyard, where excess capacity exists. This is because MHI’s specialty LNG carriers are monopolized by Korean manufacturers and MHI is not receiving orders. Now, they take on non-shipbuilding jobs and help maintain the employment of the shipyard. Their Nagasaki Shipyard started manufacturing the basic structure that supports large wind turbines. Since the shipyard has a space for handling large parts of the ship, it can also be used to manufacture wind turbines.

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Recession May Come Before CASE Is Realized

GUEST EDITORIAL


President and Founder, Japan Electrification Research Institute, Ltd.

SUMMARY. The global auto industry is bubbling with changes and dramatic new ideas, but the current declining financial performances of Japanese auto OEMs may force them to drop out of the race temporarily before they can take advantage of the growing demand for autonomous vehicles.

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PowerTALK August 2019

The August 2019 issue of PowerTALK, the monthly report of world news and analysis from Power Systems Research, contains an economic outlook report for North America and a guest editorial by Mr. Kenichiro Wada who discusses the near-term problems facing Japanese auto OEMs as they develop autonomous vehicles.

Off-Highway Truck Production

2019 NA Production About The Same as 2018

1400 Units

This information originally appeared in the August 2019 issue of PowerTALK.

Carol Turner is Senior Analyst, Global Operations

DataPoint

Fourteen hundred units is the estimate, by Power Systems Research, of the number of Off-Highway Trucks that will be produced in the United States and Canada during 2019. Estimated 2019 production will be about the same as 2018.

In 2018, production was 1412 units, down 55 units or 4% from 2017.

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MotorIndia Magazine: India CV Market Facing Lower Demand in 2019

The India CV market is facing lower demand in 2019, reports MotorIndia magazine in its August 2019 Market Outlook issue.

CV Link is a comprehensive database updated quarterly that covers the CV market.

After a blockbuster growth in 2017 and 2018, writes Shah, growth that was largely driven by demand for tipper trucks due to the new infrastructure, mining projects and fleet replacement; the party ended in Q4 of 2018.

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NS 7 Will Bring More Stringent Emission Regulation

In speech “Development Status and Trend of Mobile Emission Regulation”, delivered by Research Fellow Ms. Ni Hong of Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, think tank for Ministry of Ecology and Environment, in concurrent event of Engine China 2019, Ms. Ni noted that CO2 reduction is an issue of future scrutiny. NS 7 will come after NS 6 and that emission regulation will only be more and more stringent.

Source: China Automotive News     Read The Article

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