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2025 Russia Heavy Truck Sales Expected to Decline
Chris Fisher MOSCOW—(TASS) Sales of heavy trucks in Russia in 2025 may decline by 23% year-on-year to 85,000 units, Mikhail Matasov, Deputy General Director of the Russian truck producer Kamaz, told reporters. “The market will be poor in 2025. We currently estimate it at 85,000 units against 110,000 this year. We think that 85,000 is even optimistic,” he said.
Matasov noted that the decline in sales can be attributed to a decrease in demand for cargo transportation.
“If there is no construction, then there will be fewer dump trucks (needed). We also provide trucks for cargo transportation industry – if there are fewer of them, then there will be fewer haulage trucks,” he explained.
“The plan for 2025 is, in my opinion, 10,000 units. But we don’t know if there will be that many, because Chinese brands have large warehouse stocks,” Matasov added.
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Layoffs Begin in the North American Truck Segment
Chris Fisher Both Volvo and International Truck have initiated layoffs this year due to sluggish orders and high production capacity in preparation for a potential 2026 truck pre-buy ahead of the phase 3 GHG Emission Regulations scheduled for implementation in 2027.
Volvo Trucks North America plans to lay off up to another 350 workers from a Virginia plant as part of job cuts affecting up to 980 employees across the country since the beginning of the year.
Employees at the New River Valley plant in Dublin, Virginia, were notified of the workforce reduction this month, and their last day at the facility will be June 27, Volvo spokesperson Janie Coley said.
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Q1 2025 Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) drops 5.3%
Download PDFSt. Paul, MN (April 21, 2025)— The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) dropped from 113 to 107, or -5.3%, for the three-month period ending March 31, 2025, from Q4 2024. The year-over-year (Q1 2024 to Q1 2025) timeframe was flat for the PSR-TPI, 107 to 107, or 0%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
All Regions. In 2025, Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production in South America, Greater China, South Asia and Japan/Korea are expected to increase slightly while European and North American production is expected to decline this year over 2024.
Global Index. Globally, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to decline by 0.1% this year over 2024. A moderate softening of the global economy along with negative impacts from increased tariffs will likely place pressure on vehicle demand this year. PSR
Jim Downey is vice president – global data products at Power Systems Research
Chris Fisher is the senior commercial vehicle analyst at Power Systems Research -
Trump Tariffs Impact NA Truck Market
Chris Fisher It appears the two main goals for implementing US trade tariffs: to bring more manufacturing jobs to United States and to negotiate more favorable trade agreements to reduce the trade deficit with the rest of the world, could negatively impact the North American medium and heavy truck market. In 2024, the United States trade deficit was $918.4 billion which was a 17% increase from 2023.
April 9, President Trump paused his reciprocal tariffs on most countries for 90 days. The tariffs for most countries would be reduced to 10% during this period. Canada and Mexico will not be impacted by the 10% tariff for goods trading under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. However, tariffs on imported Chinese goods were raised to 145% after the Chinese implemented retaliatory tariffs on goods exported into China from the United States.
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Transportation Freedom Act Affects Emissions
Chris Fisher A bill introduced in the U.S. Senate this month seeks to repeal heavy-duty emissions standards, eliminate new and existing emissions waivers granted to states, set a national standard for emissions and more.
The “Transportation Freedom Act,” as the legislation is known, was introduced by Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) and co-sponsored by Sens. Tim Sheehy (R-Montana), Jim Banks (R-Indiana) and James Justice (R-West Virginia). It includes several provisions related to heavy-duty truck emissions standards, as well as provisions addressing light- and medium-duty vehicles.
Notably, the bill would repeal Phase 3 of the Environmental Protection Agency’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles. The Phase 3 GHG rule, finalized last year, ramps up CO2 emissions standards for trucks between model years 2027 and 2032.
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Isuzu Plans South Carolina Truck Assembly Plant
Chris Fisher Isuzu North America Corporation has announced that it is establishing a new production base in Greenville County, SC, to expand its vehicle supply capabilities in anticipation of the electrification of commercial vehicles in North America.
The company has purchased a 1,000,000 square foot facility on 200 acres of land it is converting into a state-of-the-art, Isuzu-run, assembly plant.
The size of the Greenville plant will enable Isuzu to consolidate all production-related operations under one roof. This will include KD storage and processing, parts storage, vehicle production and PIO operations. It will also allow for streamlining processes and improving efficiency, the OEM said.
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Q4 2024 Truck Production Index Climbs 3.7%
Download PDFThe Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 109 to 113, or 3.7%, for the three-month period ending Dec. 31, 2024, from Q3 2024.
The year-over-year (Q4 2023 to Q4 2024) decrease for the PSR-TPI was, 117 to 113, or -3.4%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
All Regions. In 2025, Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production in South America, Greater China, South Asia and Japan/Korea are expected to increase moderately European production is expected to be flat and North American production is expected to decline over 2024.
Global Index. Globally, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to increase by 2.3% this year over 2024. Overall improvement in the global economy is the primary driver for the forecasted increase. However, the possibility for additional global tariffs from the incoming United States Executive Branch may place negative pressure on this forecast. PSR
Jim Downey is Vice President-Global Data Products
Chris Fisher is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst -
Nebraska AG Sues Truck Makers Over CARB
NORTH AMERICA REPORT
Chris Fisher Nebraska Attorney General Mike Hilgers has filed an antitrust lawsuit against some of the nation’s largest heavy-duty truck manufacturers alleging a plot to stifle the availability of internal-combustion semi-trucks in favor of electric ones.
In the lawsuit filed Nov. 19, Hilgers said California and the California Air Resources Board have “recently embarked on a mission to eliminate the [internal combustion engine] vehicle and mandate the electrification of our nation’s vehicle fleet.”
While other lawsuits have been filed against California and CARB attempting to halt or slow down the regulations, including one led by Hilgers to block CARB’s Advanced Clean Fleets regulation, Hilgers’ new lawsuit targets manufacturers themselves, including Daimler Truck North America (DTNA), International Motors, Paccar, Volvo Group North America, and the Truck & Engine Manufacturers Association.
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NY Trucking Group Pushes for Delay of Emissions Rule
The Trucking Association of New York (TANY), along with Assemblywoman Donna Lupardo and other state transportation stakeholders, called on legislators to reconsider implementation of California Air Resources Board (CARB) Advanced Clean Truck (ACT) regulations set to take effect in the state just more than two months from now.
TANY President Kendra Hems called for an “immediate delay.” New York joins Oregon in attempting to flex rules that were supposed to launch in January requiring a percentage of new trucks sold in their states to be zero-emission vehicles.
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Q3 2024 Truck Production Index Falls 8.9%
Download PDFSt. Paul, MN (Oct. 13, 2024)— The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) decreased from 123 to 112, or-8.9%, for the three-month period ending Sept. 30, 2024, from the Q2 2024. The year-over-year (Q3 2023 to Q3 2024) decrease for the PSR-TPI was, 114 to 112, or -1.8%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
All Regions. In 2024, Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production in Europe, South Asia, Japan/Korea and North America is expected to decline modestly while production in China and South America, is expected to improve over last year.
Global Index. Globally, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to decline by 1.4% this year over 2023. Moving into 2025, much of the focus on demand will be centered around slowing global economic conditions that will likely impact overall freight demand. PSR
Jim Downey is Vice President-Global Data Products
Chris Fisher is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst
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