News

2024 Motorcycle Production

DATAPOINT REPORT

392,500 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of on-highway Motorcycles expected to be produced in North America (US and Mexico) in 2024.

On-Road Motorcycles or Street Bikes are motorized two-wheeled vehicles that are street legal for sport and leisure activities. They include features such as headlights, brake lights and turn signals.

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2024-07-15

PowerTALK™, July 2024

IN THIS ISSUE

Western countries–United States, Europe and Canada–are placing tariffs on low-cost Chinese EVs and Beijing doesn’t like it. Read about the EV tariff controversy in the July 2024 issue of PowerTALK News. Also in this issue are articles on the global motorcycle market, North American scooter production and Hitachi’s demonstration of a huge EV mining truck.

ALTERNATIVE POWER REPORT

  • EV Sales Are Headed for Long-Term Growth
  • Research Offers Environmentally Friendly Lithium Production
  • EU Tariffs Hit Chinese EVs, Draw Reaction from Beijing
  • Canada Considers Tariffs on Chinese EVs

GLOBAL:  

  • 2024 MHCV Production Expected To Decline by 1.6%
  • 2024 Global Motorcycle Market Estimated at $144 Billion

DATAPOINT: NA Scooter Production

EUROPE:

  • Belgium Risks Losing Audi Car Production in Brussels
  • Electric/Hybrid Marine Event Shows New Technologies

BRAZIL/SOUTH AMERICA:

  • Brazil Truck Production Grows Significantly
  • Brazil’s Frasle Mobility To Buy Dacomsa for $389 Million

JAPAN: Hitachi Demonstrates Ultra-Large Electric Dump Truck
THAILAND: Honda To Cut Thai Car Production Capacity by 50%
CHINA: Chinese Joint Venture Begins Battery Plant in Mississippi
INDIA: Bajaj, TVS Enter CNG Two-Wheeler Market PSR

Canada Considers Tariffs on Chinese EVs Similar To US and EU Moves

ALTERNATIVE POWER REPORT
Guy Youngs
Guy Youngs

The Canadian government is preparing tariffs on Chinese-made EVs to align with the US and European Union, which have already proposed heavy duties to deter “unfair” competition imported from overseas

The country holds strong ties with the US and EU and looks to align with its trade partners in solidarity while blocking a potential loophole China could use to enter North America.

Source: Electrek: Read The Article

PSR Analysis:  Canada is still in the early stages of these tariffs, with discussion ongoing. Prime Minister Trudeau has not publicly committed Canada to imposing tariffs on Chinese EVs, stating the cabinet is monitoring the situation closely.   PSR

Guy Youngs is Forecast & Adoption Lead at Power Systems Research

EU Tariffs Hit Chinese EVs, Draw Stern Words from Beijing

The European Commission told automakers (July 11, 2024) it would impose extra duties of up to 38.1% on imported Chinese electric cars starting in July 2024, risking retaliation from Beijing, which called the move protectionist. Less than a month after Washington announced plans to quadruple duties for Chinese EVs to 100%, Brussels said it would set additional tariffs ranging from 17.4% for BYD to 38.1% for SAIC, on top of the standard 10% car duty. It said this was to combat excessive subsidies

it’s worth noting that commercial EV sales are soaring.  PSR

Source: Reuters (via MSN): Read The Article

PSR Analysis: On the face of it, this seems like the start of a trade war with Chinese automakers demanding retaliatory tariffs on European cars, however several EU member states have already started to back track (led by Germany) so it remains to be seen as to what the eventual outcome will be.  

Guy Youngs is Forecast & Adoption Lead at Power Systems Research

Research Offers Efficient Lithium Production

As the electric vehicle market booms, the demand for lithium has also soared, with global lithium production more than tripling in the last decade. Current methods of extracting lithium from rock ores or brines are slow and come with high energy demands and environmental costs. They also require sources of lithium which are incredibly concentrated to begin with and are only found in a few countries.

Researchers at the University of Chicago Pritzker School of Molecular Engineering (PME) have optimized a new method for extracting lithium from more dilute (and widespread) sources of lithium, including seawater, groundwater, and “flowback water” left behind from fracking and offshore oil drilling.

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EV Sales Headed for Long-Term Growth

ALTERNATIVE POWER REPORT

The short-term picture for EV growth is mixed, but long-term prospects look good. EV sales will continue to grow despite the mixed near-term outlook, according to BloombergNEF’s Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook (EVO) which indicates that rapidly falling battery prices, advancements in next-gen battery technology, and improving relative economics of EVs with ICE counterparts continue to underpin long-term EV growth globally.

Global passenger EV sales are expected to continue to grow, but at a slower pace in the next few years.

Source: Electrek: Read The Article

PSR Analysis: We have seen articles incorrectly claiming that the EV market is in decline, so it’s a welcome article that lays out clearly why the market is expected to slow but not decline while ICE engines peaked in 2017 and have started a long term decline. PSR

Guy Youngs is Forecast & Adoption Lead at Power Systems Research

2024 MHCV Production Expected To Decline by 1.6%

GLOBAL REPORT
Chris Fisher
Chris Fisher

In 2024, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production in Europe, South Asia and North America is expected to decline modestly while production in China, South America, Japan and Korea is expected to improve over last year.   

Globally, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to decline by 1.6% this year over 2023.  Moving into 2024, much of the focus on demand is centered around slowing global economic conditions that will likely impact overall freight demand. 

North America. Medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to decline by 4.3% this year over 2023 after strong class 8 truck production last year was driven by on-going pent-up demand.  While class 8 demand is expected to decline this year, it will still be at a relatively high level, especially during the first part of the year. 

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2024 Global Motorcycle Market Estimated at $144 Billion

Michael Aistrup

The global motorcycles market size is estimated to be valued at $144.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.1% from 2024 to 2033 and to be valued at $288.46 billion in 2033, according to research by Power Systems Research (PSR).

The unit sales of Motorcycles market are expected to reach 61.62 million by 2029 according to PSR. In the United States, the trend in the motorcycle market is shifting towards electric bikes, as consumers become more environmentally conscious.

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Electric and Hybrid Marine Exhibition Demonstrates New Technologies

EUROPE REPORT 
Natasa Mulahalilovic
Natasa Mulahalilovic

Amsterdam–The Tenth Annual Electric and Hybrid Marine Exhibition in Amsterdam’s RAI June 18-20 attracted more than 200 exhibitors and provided an opportunity for shipowners and operators to review the latest solutions to speed marine electrification, decarbonization, hybridization.

Reaching the objective to reduce greenhouse gas by 70% in maritime industry by 2050 looks realistic but the new technologies developers, equipment manufacturers and end users need more clarity and support from the regulatory and governmental bodies to accelerate the process. Creation of reliable and safe storage and fueling infrastructure will ensure the shipbuilders and ship owners trust the transition.

The three-day event presented the latest innovations and achievements in efficient decarbonization of the maritime industry. New technologies from companies in Europe, North America, China and other regions designed to support and accelerate the transition from high polluting fossil combustion to zero emission solutions in maritime industry were exhibited at the event. The exhibition was visited by thousands of industry professionals.

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