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Although the acquisition has not been confirmed by the companies, the Journal “O Globo” published a report that an internal communication to Mercedes employees about the deal was released June 25 with technical details of the facility confirming it meets the requirements of the Chinese company.
PSR Analysis: It looks like the perfect match as it is a good opportunity for the German car maker to sell the assets of the plant stopped in 2020 and it is in line with the Chinese OEM strategy to expand business out of China by the acquisition of existing companies or production structures. GWM did it in Thailand when it acquired the plant of General Motors and it plans to do it again in India, again with General Motors. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director, Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
The Mayor of Rio de Janeiro has announced a package of alternative power measures and goals with two important milestones for 2030 and 2050. Here are the main goals affecting the mobility and transportation industry:
2030
Replace 20% of Public Service of Bus Transportation by Zero Emission Vehicles.
Reduce by 10% the average time of commuting by public transportation.
Increase by 400% the number of trips by bicycle.
Reduce by 20% the emission of GHG.
Reach 100% of city regions with selective refuse collection.
Sales of vehicles in Colombia were affected by protests and roadblocks in May. Because of the protest, dealers were closed and vehicles are blocked at the ports of Cartagena and Barranquilla. Even with the reduction from April to May, when 14,700 units were sold, below the 18,000 in April, the YTD result in 2021 is 50.2% better than 2020.
PSR Analysis: The recovery of the Colombia economy, seen in light of the vehicle market, is faster than expected, even with the continued health crisis due to the pandemic and the social and politic problems. For the full year, there is a significant amount of uncertainty with a bias for increase in the forecasts. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director-Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
From January to April, the amount of total of goods transported in Brazil was R$ 2.9 trillion, while in the same period of 2020 it was R$ 2.1 trillion, an increase of 39%. This metric is used as a baromometer for the Brazilian economy.
PSR Analysis: This result is aligned with what we see in the sales of new trucks and trailers and confirms our increase in FY 2021 sales and production. Part of the increase is due to inflation in local currency, but part is due to good results in Agribusiness and Mining. Other segments of the economy have had a lower increase because of COVID19 if compared with 2020, when the uncertainty in March and April had a higher impact than in 2021. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director-Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
The Brazilian group that acquired Randon Veículos, the division of Randon group that produced OH Trucks and Construction Equipment, at the end of 2020 launched the first model under the Müller brand. It has a 350 HP Turbo Intercooler produced by Scania and an Allisson Automatic Transmission.
PSR Analysis: Whether lucky or visionary, Müller is well positioned to produce positive results in coming years. While mining activity in Brazil is growing with record commodities prices and public bids for new exploration areas are expanding, competitors are mostly imported and suffer from exchange rate effects. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director Business, Development-South America, for Power Systems Research
VWCO reported exports of 2527 trucks and buses from January to April 2021, versus 1084 units in the same period of 2020. Most of the growth came during April; the month was very negatively affected by the pandemic in 2020.
PSR Analysis: As with other OEMs, the export volumes of VWCO have been better than expected considering only Q1 2021 vs. Q1 2020, period without pandemic effect in 2020. During our forecast planning in Q4 2020, we expected a lower recovery of exports because of a slower recovery from the pandemic effects in 2021. However, the currency depreciation in Brazil, and special variables in each market caused the positive effect. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director, Business Development-South America, for Power Systems Research
This pickup truck will be produced at the São Caetano plant using the GEM platform, the leader in the compact car segment with Chevrolet Onyx. This vehicle will be smaller than the GM S-10, produced in São José dos Campos, Brazil, and bigger than the old Montana. It should compete with Fiat Toro, leader in sales ant he Pick-up segment.
PSR Analysis: GM hopes to follow the success history of Stellantis in Brazil with a smaller, yet not compact pick-up. The successful history of GM with pickups in Brazil, since the 70’s with the C-10, D-10, D-20 and more recently with the S-10, in addition to sales leadership and brand recognition puts GM in a good position to get market share from Stellantis. In addition, the use of the GEM platform is a competitive advantage. The volume forecast in our databases will be about 50,000 units per year for this model. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director, Business Development-South America, for Power Systems Research
The Brazilian group that acquired Randon Veículos, the division of Randon group that produced OH Trucks and Construction Equipment, at the end of 2020 launched the first model under the Müller brand. It has a 350 HP Turbo Intercooler produced by Scania and an Allisson Automatic Transmission.
PSR Analysis: Whether lucky or visionary, Müller is well positioned to produce positive results in coming years. While mining activity in Brazil is growing with record commodities prices and public bids for new exploration areas are expanding, competitors are mostly imported and suffer from exchange rate effects.
Fabio Ferraresi is Director-Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
Volvo CE and Case Construction are aligned to affirm CE sales in Brazil will grow 20% in 2021 despite of the effects of the pandemic. With 18% growth of sales in Q1 2021 over the same quarter of 2020, CE executives are optimistic about full year sales.
PSR Analysis: First quarter of 2020 was a strong sales quarter over 2019 because the pandemic impact was not present until March 16, 2020.
This makes the result of Q1 2021 18% above Q1 2020 really strong and makes executives optimistic about FY 2021 results. In addition to that, the foundation of the segment is robust, with the construction industry activity growing because of strong housing demand, infrastructure bids being restarted and mining growing significantly. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director-Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
In an effort to reduce the domestic economic impact of the pandemic, the Argentinian government has published an order that makes all industry with annual revenue above US$ 41 Million to produce at full capacity. If not, they will be fined.
PSR Analysis: As the Argentinian government sees a shortage of industrial products and related price escalation, it identifies reduced OEM production as the main cause of these shortages. However, it underestimates the effects of supply chain constraints and even labor constraints caused by the pandemic.
We do not believe the decree will result in higher production, and we believe the order will be reviewed in a short time. Meanwhile, this is an issue companies will have to deal with, including the over planning it should result. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director-Business Development, South America, for Power Systems Research
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