Near Term Recession Fears Recede in North America

SUMMARY.  The North American economy remained stable in 2019 and pure economic conditions as well as fundamentals in the region were favorable. Most industries performed very well, and the short-term outlook remains stable to flat for most market segments. However, we see many new developments that could suggest a shift in the trend.

Yosyf Sheremeta
Yosyf Sheremeta

Consumer confidence declined slightly in December, following a moderate increase in November.  The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index stood at 126.5 in December, 1.4 points higher than in September 2019. 

Per Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board: “While consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved, their expectations declined, driven primarily by a softening in their short-term outlook regarding jobs and financial prospects. While the economy hasn’t shown signs of further weakening, there is little to suggest that growth, and in particular consumer spending, will gain momentum in early 2020.”

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North America Economic Outlook – November 2021

Yosyf Sheremeta, PhD, Director of Product Management and Customer Experience, takes a look at what’s in store for the industry segments we follow for the rest of 2021 and beyond.

Transcript

Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast produced by Power Systems Research.

00:06 Joe Delmont

From Power Systems Research I’m Joe Delmont, editor of PSR PowerTALK.

Today we’ll talk with Yosyf Sheremeta about the economic outlook for North America.

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Edge Computing in Smart Cities and Communities

In part 2 of his “Living on the Edge” series, John Krzesicki continues his discussion about edge computing with Carrie Goetz. In this podcast they delve deeper into smart cities/communities.

Transcript

Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast produced by Power Systems Research.

00:05 John Krzesicki

My name is John Krzesicki.

Today it’s my pleasure to host this Power Systems’ “Living on the Edge” series smart city discussion. The show where we have conversations with industry experts on their insights into the mobility’s future and impact on cities and industries.

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Power Systems Research Forecasts 13% Rebound in Mining Equipment Production in 2021

Jim Downey talks with Sarah Jensen from OEM Off-Highway for their OEM Industry Update podcast. We present it here with their permission.

On this week’s episode of OEM Industry Update, we spoke with Jim Downey, Vice President-Global Data Products, Power Systems Research, about the current state of the North American mining equipment market. He says mining equipment production is expected to rebound 13% in 2021 and continue growing over the next 5 years.

Transcript

Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast produced by Power Systems Research.

00:14 Sarah Jensen:

Welcome to OEM industry update. A weekly podcast examining the latest news and technology trends impacting product development teams in the heavy duty on and off-highway equipment industry.

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Strong Post-pandemic Growth Expected into 2022-23 for North America

Yosyf Sheremeta
Yosyf Sheremeta

SUMMARY.  After the GDP declined 3.5% last year, the worst performance in almost 75 years, the US economy is set for a strong comeback.  There are many reasons to be optimistic about the economy for the next few years, including strong readings of macro-economic factors combined with the economic cycle reset backed by government initiatives and policies.

Our positive outlook is based on the reviews of key economic indicators, including GDP, unemployment, and inflation. 

During H1 2021, we witnessed a strong level of activities and a rebound for many industries.  As local governments eased lockdown restrictions, service-oriented industries gained traction and that translated to an overall increase of economic activities across many industries. 

We expect this level of rebound to continue and we now expect even stronger overall growth for 2021.  The US economy is on track to reach or even surpass the growth level of 1984 – the highest one since 1950s.  In the near term, consumer spending will help drive demand and support the strong growth trend.

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DATAPOINT: 2021 North America Combines

Today Joe Delmont presents the 2021 forecast for Combine production in North America. This forecast has been developed by Carol Turner, Senior Analyst of Global Operations at Power Systems Research. Carol provides annual production forecasts for important equipment applications.

Transcript

Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast produced by Power Systems Research.

00:06

From Power Systems Research, I’m Joe Delmont, editor of PSR PowerTALK.

Today we’ll discuss a data point covering 2021 North American production of combines. When we talk about North America in this podcast, we mean the United States only.

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DATAPOINT: North America Terminal Tractors

Estimated 2022 Production: 3,800 Units

3,800 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Terminal Tractors to be produced in North America (United States) in 2023.

Terminal Tractors are specialized heavy duty vehicles designed to move loads at container ports and container terminals. Generally, they are slow moving (under 30km/h) and employ a high torque diesel engine and 4×4 wheel drive which enables them to move very heavy trailer loads, sometimes up to 200 or 300 tons

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DataPoint: North America Skid Steer Loaders, 2022 Production, 92,700 Units

A Skid Steer Loader, also known as a skid loader, skid-steer loader, or skid steer, is a small rigid frame, engine-powered machine with lift arms used to attach a wide variety of labor-saving tools or attachments.

The four major types of skid steer loaders are Agricultural, 29%; Rental Fleets,  22%; Construction, 20%, and Landscape, 12%.

92,700 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Skid Steer Loaders to be produced in North America (United States and Canada) in 2022.

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DataPoint: North America Tractor/Loader/Backhoes (TLBs)

7,450 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Tractor/Loader/Backhoes (TLB) expected to be produced in North America in 2023.

Tractor/Loader/Backhoes are full-size machines that are three pieces of construction equipment combined into one: the tractor, the loader and the backhoe. These units are designed to tackle an array of construction and agricultural related activities.

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