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The Q1 2021 PSR PowerTracker survey provides information on North American gen-set sales trends. Joe Zirnhelt, Power Systems Research President and CEO, provides the analysis.
Transcript
Welcome to the PSR Power Talk podcast, produced by Power Systems Research.
From Power Systems Research I am Joe Zirnhelt. And in today’s PowerTALK podcast we will discuss results from the first quarter of 2021 based on our ongoing PowerTracker survey.
The share of Japanese automakers in Thailand’s new car market, once considered a “stronghold for Japanese cars,” is plummeting. This is due to the rapid adoption of electric vehicles due to the government’s preferential policies and the rise of Chinese manufacturers focusing on electric vehicles. Thailand is also the largest automobile manufacturing base in Southeast Asia, and this could affect the entire regional market. According to a tally by Toyota Motor’s Thai subsidiary, the nine Japanese giants will have a combined market share of 77.8% in 2023. They once held a 90% share, but the 2023 mark was 7.6 percentage points lower than the previous year.
In Thailand, companies that import EVs can receive a subsidy of up to 150,000 baht (about $600,000) per vehicle and a tariff reduction of up to 40% if they sign a memorandum of understanding with the government. More than 10 companies, including Chinese EV giant BYD, have signed the MOU because of the lower selling price.
Editor’s Note: This report includes a conversation with Miguel Elizalde Lizárraga, the executive president of ANPACT (the National Association of Bus, Truck and Engine Manufacturers) and a visit to the Expotransporte 2022, the largest truck show in Latin America.
ANPACT represents the trucks, buses and engine manufacturers in Mexico. It participates actively with government organizations and other important related associations to ensure the truck and bus industry gets enough support, incentives, alliances, agreements and information to grow in the local market. Also, to continue with their outstanding role as one of the most important exporters of heavy duty vehicles globally.
The ANPACT gathers the most important trucks, buses and engine manufacturers in Mexico such as Kenworth, Freightliner, International, Mercedes Benz, Man, Volkswagen, Scania, Dina, Mack, Volvo, Isuzu, Hino, Detroit and Cummins.
During our conversation, Elizalde provided timely insights into the Mexican transportation industry and the major market challenges this country is facing today.
Vehicles manufactured in Mexico produce an important impact on the country’s economy, logistics and mobility. For example, 71% of the foreign trade value is moved to the US through heavy duty trucks. Much of the movement of goods in Mexico is through trucks, and people use buses as their main transportation.
According to ANPACT´s August statistics, manufacturers produced a total of 127,858 heavy duty vehicles from January through August this year. This is 18% more than 2021 production. Through August, export volumes increased by 15.7% (106,824 units) compared to 2021. Retail demand has increased so far by 20.5% (25,196 units).
Current challenges the transportation industry is facing today in Mexico include road safety, environmental regulations implementation, supply chain lead times, driver shortage, e-commerce, vehicles renewals, safety and energy infrastructure.
Volkswagen has announced plans to introduce a pickup truck at its São José dos Pinhais plant in Paraná, Brazil, currently dedicated to assembling the T-Cross SUV. This new model, referred to internally as Project Udara, is part of the automaker’s €1 billion investment cycle in the country extending until 2028.
In addition to the pickup, the investment includes the development of two flex-hybrid vehicles, a new SUV, and a new engine, slated for production at the Brazilian assembly lines in São Bernardo do Campo and São Carlos.
The forthcoming pickup, larger than the existing Saveiro model produced in São Bernardo do Campo, is expected to feature a flex-fuel engine, with potential hybrid variants. Project Udara is set to be constructed on the MQB platform, and its launch is expected in early 2026.
In the past three months, the aggregate investments announced by automotive manufacturers in Brazil have reached a total of US$ 14.3 billion. The largest individual investment came from Stellantis, committing US$ 6 billion to the country between 2025 and 2030, marking a record sum among major vehicle manufacturers operating within the nation. A significant portion of this investment will be directed towards the development of flex-hybrid models.
This investment influx began in December, with Renault earmarking US$ 500 million for the production of a new SUV in Paraná, featuring engine variants that blend ethanol, gasoline, and electricity. In January this year, General Motors (GM) unveiled investments totaling US$ 1.4 billion aimed at product rejuvenation.
If you use construction equipment, or if it’s important for you to know what’s happening in the construction segment in Europe or North and South America, you’ll want to participate in the free one-hour Construction Outlook Webinar produced by Power Systems Research and JCB Power Systems on Monday, Nov. 30, 2020, at 9:00 am CST. You’ll find the details in the November issue of PowerTALK News.
You’ll also find an analysis by Chris Fisher, senior commercial vehicle analyst at Power Systems Research, of the TRATON-Navistar merger. Other top items in this issue include:
MWM Engines and Power Gen, part of the Navistar group, has announced the launch of a new line of Acteon Engines powered by Natural Gas. The engine family has been developed in Brazil and features 4 cylinders and 6 cylinders with 4.8L and 7.2L displacement.
PSR Analysis: With this move, MWM meets Power Gen customers demand or NG powered Gen Sets and increases portfolio to attend OEMs aiming to launch NG powered vehicles and equipment without investment in Engines Development. As NG becomes a competitive and cleaner fuel alternative for Brazil, MWM put the bets on the right place to attend better the customers demand. PSR
Fabio Ferraresi is Director, Business Development-South America, for Power Systems Research
Since the latter part of last year, North American heavy commercial truck orders have been extremely strong as freight rates remain very high. Both contract rates and spot rates are in record territory, primarily driven by consumer spending, a strong housing market and an improving manufacturing sector.
The anticipation of the stimulus spending and increasing vaccination rates for Covid-19 are also driving optimism in the economy. However, rising inflation could derail the improving economy.
South Korea is looking at its first trade deficit with China in 28 years, according to a report in the September issue of PowerTALK News, the monthly report of news and analysis from Power Systems Research. Also in this issue is a report from Guy Youngs on Alternative Power sources, as well as reports from two important industry shows: The Cannes Yachting Festival in France and the M&T Expo in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
IN THIS ISSUE
Alternative Power
Electric Battery Power Forecasts
Can EV Enthusiasm Trigger Global Growth?
Lithium Spot Prices Climb Nearly 900% Since January 2020
Cummins Jumps On New Energy Storage Iron Salt Formula
EV Shipping Set To Blow IC Engines Out of the Water
North America:
Navistar Introduces S13 Engine Platform
Outdoor Power Equipment Forecast To Grow 5.3%
DataPoint: NA Crawlers
Europe: Report from Cannes Yachting Festival 2022
Brazil/South America: Special Report: M&T Expo
China: Drought Forces Sichuan Power Cuts at Factories
Japan: Vinfast To Export Initial 5,000 EVs To Europe and the U.S.
Japan: Honda To Discontinue Two-Wheel Gasoline Vehicles
South Korea: South Korea Sees First Trade Deficit with China in 28 Years
India: Festive Demand Expected To Boost Auto Industry
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