The outlook for global truck production in the class 4-8 looks very promising for 2018 as it continues a strong growth pattern established in 2017. Even previously struggling countries such as Russia, Brazil and Turkey saw very positive signs in 2017 and are looking for continued growth this year. North America and Europe also are expected to have a good year in 2018.
The share of Japanese automakers in Thailand’s new car market, once considered a “stronghold for Japanese cars,” is plummeting. This is due to the rapid adoption of electric vehicles due to the government’s preferential policies and the rise of Chinese manufacturers focusing on electric vehicles. Thailand is also the largest automobile manufacturing base in Southeast Asia, and this could affect the entire regional market. According to a tally by Toyota Motor’s Thai subsidiary, the nine Japanese giants will have a combined market share of 77.8% in 2023. They once held a 90% share, but the 2023 mark was 7.6 percentage points lower than the previous year.
In Thailand, companies that import EVs can receive a subsidy of up to 150,000 baht (about $600,000) per vehicle and a tariff reduction of up to 40% if they sign a memorandum of understanding with the government. More than 10 companies, including Chinese EV giant BYD, have signed the MOU because of the lower selling price.
Like it did with passenger EV rebates in December, Germany has decided to pull the plug on subsidy programs for electric semi-trucks and city buses. What happens to the nation’s commercial EV market now?
When the German government established the funding program for climate-friendly commercial trucks in 2021, the subsidies were seen as a highly effective tool to drive up demand for electric vehicles in the medium- and heavy-duty truck markets.
The EV segment in India is continuing to grow with additional government support. In July of this year, the government partially modified the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME) in India Phase II. It has included an additional demand incentive for electric two-wheelers to ₹15,000 per KWh from an earlier uniform subsidy of ₹10,000 per KWh for all EVs, including plug-in hybrids and strong hybrids except buses.
This decision will increase the subsidy for such vehicles by 50% under the FAME II scheme and be a game-changer in adopting EVs.
Such moves from the government will boost faster adoption of EVs. Furthermore, with this kind of solid support, OEMs will also take a step forward to accelerate the mass adoption of EV.
Chris Fisher, Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst at Power Systems Research, discusses the Q2 2021 global production facts and related forecasts for medium and heavy trucks, as reported in the quarterly PSR Truck Production Index.
Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast produced by Power Systems Research.
00:06 Joe Delmont
From Power Systems Research, I’m Joe Delmont, editor of PSR PowerTALK.
Today we’ll discuss global truck production with Chris Fisher. Chris is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst at Power Systems Research.
Editor’s Note: This is an updated report from the Q2 2021 Truck Production Index report produced by Chris Fisher and Jim Downey, Vice President-Global Data Products, in July 2021.
Question: What is the global truck production picture? What is the outlook?
PSR Opinion: Overall, medium and heavy truck demand will finish the year on a strong note, and continued strength is expected into 2022. On-going supply chain disruptions will continue to impact production throughout the rest of the year and likely into 2022.
Question: What kind of global production volume do you expect for this year?
St. Paul, MN (Oct. 16, 2019)— The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) dropped from 128 to 1116, or 9.4%, for the three-month period ended Sept. 30, 2019, from Q2 2019. The year-over-year (Q3 2018 to Q3 2019) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 120 to 116, or 3.3%.
In this episode of PSR PowerTALK, Chris Fisher, senior commercial vehicle analyst at Power Systems Research, talks about the reasons for the 42.5% first quarter 2021 drop in global truck production.
Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast, produced by Power Systems Research.
00:06 Joe Delmont:
From Power systems Research I’m Joe Delmont, editor of PSR PowerTALK. Today we’ll discuss global truck production with Chris Fisher, PSR, senior commercial vehicle analyst.
St. Paul, MN — The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 113 to 127, or 12.4%, for the three-month period ended June 30, 2018, from the Q1 2018. The year-over-year (Q2 2017 to Q2 2018) gain for the PSR-TPI was 124 to 127, or 2.4%.
ST. PAUL, MN–A team of international analysts from Power Systems Research (PSR) analyzed the impact of COVID-19 on the global production of Off-Highway Equipment and MH-Duty Vehicles in several regions today.
The team examined the impact of the coronavirus in North America, Europe, Asia, India, and South America for the remainder of 2020 and into Q1 2021. Download your copy of the presentation here.
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