In this episode of the PSR PowerTALK Podcast Chris Fisher, Power Systems’ Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst, discusses the Q4 2020 global production facts and related forecasts for medium and heavy trucks.
Transcript
Welcome to PowerTALK Truck podcast February 2021. Produced by Power Systems Research, the leading supplier of global production data and forecasts to the engine power products and Components industries. Here’s today’s host, Emiliano Marzoli, Manager of Power Systems Research, European Operations.
Power Systems Research produced a one-hour webinar with the Heavy Duty Manufacturers Association (HDMA) that provided the outlook for commercial vehicle production in North America and Europe during Q4 2020 and 2021.
Download the presentation by PSR representatives Chris Fisher, senior commercial vehicle analyst, and Emiliano Marzoli, senior business development manager-Europe. A member survey by HDMA’s Richard Anderson also is available for download here. PSR
Providing 2021 Forecast on Global Production ofCommercial Vehicles
Power Systems Research will produce a one-hour webinar with the Heavy Duty Manufacturers Association (HDMA) providing the outlook for commercial vehicle production in North America and Europe during Q4 2020 and 2021.
Hope you can participate. During the session, we’ll present important information that updates the North American comments we made in our COVID-19 Impact webinar in June. The HDMA Pulse Series Webinars provide suppliers with the information needed to make decisions in today’s rapidly changing business environment.
The webinar will be held Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2020 1:00pm – 2:00pm EDT.
Space is limited, so please register as soon as possible using the REGISTER NOWbutton on the HDMA website at www.hdma.org. If you are not a PSR Client or HDMA Member, an individual registration is $100.
St. Paul, MN (July 22, 2020)— Global truck production was battered by the COVID-19 in Q2 2020, and this decline is reflected in the Q2 2020 Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI). The TPI plummeted from 80 to 34, or 57.5%, for the three-month period ended June 30, 2020, compared to Q1 2020. The year-over-year (Q2 2019 to Q2 2020) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 131 to 34, or 74%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from CV Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
ST. PAUL, MN — The Q4 2021 Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased from 116 to 120, or 3.4%, for the three-month period ended December 31,2021, from Q3 2021. The year-over-year (Q4 2020 to Q4 2021) loss for the PSR-TPI was, 190 to 120, or -37%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan and Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
Global Index: We expect global production volumes in 2022 to gain 3.7% vs 2021, with a positive trend in all regions, except for China, where we expect production volumes to be down -3.6% in 2022 vs 2021. China experienced a surge in demand during 2020 due to the change in emissions regulations, so 2021 was down significantly, about 20%.
All Regions: Global demand for Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles (MHV) rebounded in 2021 but overall growth in the segment was flat. Going forward, we expect the growth to accelerate in 2022 and 2023. The exceptions to this rebound trend are in China and India, which continue to decline and sharply drive overall global production numbers into negative territory.
North America: While supply chain disruptions continue to negatively impact the commercial vehicle market, medium and heavy commercial vehicle production is expected to finish 2021 15.8% higher than 2020. The forecasted production growth rate is expected to continue to show improvement through 2023 as supply chain disruptions ease and truck capacity in the market begins to align with demand. The disruption in the supply chain and on-going issues with COVID will continue to impact the market in 2022. PSR
Jim Downey is Vice President-Global Data Products and Chris Fisher is Senior Commercial Vehicle Analyst at Power Systems Research
The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) decreased from 115 to 109, or 5.2%, for the three-month period ended March 31, 2019, from the fourth quarter of 2018. The year-over-year (Q1 2018 to Q1 2019) change for the PSR-TPI was basically flat, moving from 110 to 109, or .91%.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
St. Paul, MN (July 12, 2021)— The Power Systems Research Truck Production Index (PSR-TPI) increased 193.5% year-over-year (Q2 2020 to the Q2 2021), moving from 46 to 135. For the three-month period ended June 30, 2021, (Q1 2021 to Q2 2021) the TPI climbed 15.4%, increasing from 117 to 135.
The PSR-TPI measures truck production globally and across six regions: North America, China, Europe, South America, Japan & Korea and Emerging Markets.
This data comes from OE Link™, the proprietary database maintained by Power Systems Research.
Global Index.Overall, medium and heavy truck demand will finish the year on a strong note and continued strength is expected into 2022. On-going supply chain disruptions will continue to impact production throughout the rest of the year and possibly into 2022.
All Regions.Except for China, all regions are expected to experience solid commercial vehicle demand growth this year and into 2022. Chinese heavy truck demand is expected to decline this year primarily due to the implementation of the China VI emission regulations that adds cost to the vehicles but no significant improvement in fuel economy.
Joe Zirnhelt President and Chief Executive Officer
Joe Zirnhelt is President and Chief Executive Officer of Power Systems Research and a member of the company’s Board of Directors. His responsibilities include management and oversight of the company's operations as well as leading the implementation of strategic initiatives. Joe joined the company as a Senior Consultant in 2005. After several years working in various management roles within product and project oversight, he served as the company’s Chief Operating Officer & Strategist from 2015 until assuming responsibilities as President and Chief Executive Officer in 2019. Over his 24-year professional career he has served as an Officer in the U.S. Navy including training in the Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program followed by experience with Alstom Power, a leading French power plant developer, before joining Power Systems Research in 2005. Joe holds an undergraduate degree in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Notre Dame and an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin. He has been a regular contributor to Diesel Progress magazine and other industry publications often featuring the North American power generation market. He also is actively involved in the Electrical Generating Systems Association (EGSA) where he has contributed content for its Powerline magazine and recently completed his term as Chair of the Market Trends Committee.
Joe Zirnhelt is president and CEO of Power Systems Research, a company that provides global data and intelligence on engines and power equipment. In this podcast, Joe describes components modules and how clients use this information to enhance the power and utility of the base data. Key components include Spark Plugs, Filters, Turbos, and Axles that are added to the engines and equipment tracked by Power Systems Research.
Transcript
Welcome to the PSR PowerTALK podcast, produced by Power Systems Research.
00:06 Joe Delmont:
From Power Systems Research I’m Joe Delmont, editor of PSR PowerTALK. Today, we’re talking with Joe Zirnhelt about PSR’s database offerings and how clients use them to grow their markets.
ST. PAUL, MN–A team of international analysts from Power Systems Research (PSR) analyzed the impact of COVID-19 on the global production of Off-Highway Equipment and MH-Duty Vehicles in several regions today.
The team examined the impact of the coronavirus in North America, Europe, Asia, India, and South America for the remainder of 2020 and into Q1 2021. Download your copy of the presentation here.
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