Auto Expo 2020 Misses Majors But Shows Many New Products

This article initially appeared in the February 2020 issue of PowerTALK News.

Ritvik Kulkarni
Ritvik Kulkarni

The 15th edition of the biennial Auto Expo 2020 in New Delhi posted a record turnout of visitors. Despite missing out on mega launches and lukewarm participation by many OEMs, and absentees like Honda, Toyota, Fiat-Chrysler, Ford, Nissan, Audi, Hero Moto Corp, TVS Motors, Bajaj Auto and Royal Enfield the auto show presented many futuristic concepts and cleaner vehicles.

Source: ET Auto.com  Read The Article

PSR Analysis: With the entire country gearing up for the imminent transition to cleaner emission norms in BS6, and the uncertainty over the recovery of a bad 2019, it was impressive that the Auto Expo 2020 registered a record attendance.

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Regulatory Changes Could Boost India Auto Industry

India’s auto industry has slid back to the level of nearly a decade ago due to multiple regulatory changes, a slowing economy, liquidity issues, and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Aditya Kondejkar

The auto industry has shown signs of recovery over the last couple of months; however, an additional demand push is required to generate sustainable growth. The government is evaluating a series of possible measures such as a revision in the goods and services tax (GST) rate and a production-linked incentive and scrapage policy.

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GST Revision: The GST council is evaluating an industry 10% GST cut across categories of vehicles.

This GST revision will defiantly neutralize the impact of the price hike due to BS-VI upgradation. Further, this GST revision will give a strong thrust to auto sales during the coming festive seasons. 

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Auto Production Down Sharply in Asia

SOUTHEAST ASIA REPORT: VIETNAM, THAILAND, MALAYSIA

Akihiro Komuro
Akihiro Komuro

At the end of September, an auto parts manufacturer operating a plant near the southern Vietnamese city of Ho Chi Minh is struggling with a sharp drop in orders. The parts produced at this plant are delivered to Toyota group companies.

On Sept. 10, Toyota revised downward its production plan for the same month and October, adding about 70,000 units to the originally planned production cut of about 360,000 units in September, and cutting production by about 330,000 units in October.

The company also announced that it would revise its full-year production plan from 9.3 million units to 9 million units. Parts suppliers in Vietnam were affected by this. It was around the same time that Toyota announced its production cutbacks that the manufacturer mentioned above was told by its business partner that it wanted to significantly reduce orders for October.

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Chip Shortages Cause Worst Festive Season in Decade for Auto Industry

Aditya Kondejkar

2021’s festive period from Navratri to Diwali (October) marked the worst performance for India automakers in nearly a decade. Usually, sales of PVs peak during the period, however, the demand was much lower this year. 

Further, two-wheeler and tractor sales dropped by about 10%. The major reason for this drop is supply-side challenges on semiconductors and lack of demand in entry-level segments for both PVs and two-wheelers.

In the commercial vehicles space, the situation was somewhat better with an increase in demand for interstate movement of goods.

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Semiconductor Shortage Restricts Growth of Indian Auto Industry

Aditya Kondejkar

As the industry is coming out from the COVID impact, its growth is hurt by a shortage of semiconductors. Many OEMs have revised the production plans downward due to this shortage. We anticipate the shortage of semiconductors will exist for the next 4-5 months. Though it will hamper monthly production, it will have only a moderate impact on the total year’s production. But If the chip shortage lasts, production cuts could reduce the inventory of vehicles for sale in India and overseas markets.

The issue started in the Q2 2020. Due to COVID-19, auto OEMs worldwide drastically reduced their production and component orders. Concurrently, chipmakers were improving the supply chain, which had been disrupted by COVID-19. They witnessed a spurt in orders from electronics companies for items such as phones, laptops, gaming console makers and witnessed a spike in sales volume during the pandemic caused by changing work and school patterns.

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Cheering Festive Season for Auto Industry

INDIA REPORT

This year’s festive season fired up vehicle registrations but failed to match 2019 sales numbers. Vehicle sales, which peak during the festive season in India, account for about 40% of annual volume. Sales in the just-concluded season this year were better than in the past two COVID years but were far below the sales level of 2019.

“Auto Retail for October 2022 saw an overall growth of 48%,” said Manish Raj Singhania, president of FADA. With most of the month under the festive period, the sentiments were extremely positive across all categories of dealership outlets.”

Source: Economic Times     Read The Article

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